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Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513500805.001

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets
			: How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ?

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets : How Do Emerging and Mature Markets Differ? »

Volume/Issue: 1996/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anthony Richards

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1996

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844757.001

ISBN: 9781451844757

Keywords: emerging markets, predictability, autocorrelation, cointegration, standard deviation

This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been n...

IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 43 No. 3 »

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1996

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451973440.024

ISBN: 9781451973440

Keywords: emerging markets, mature markets, investment, portfolios, equity markets

This paper examines the volatility and predictability of emerging stock markets. A range of measures suggests that, despite perceptions to the contrary, the volatility of emerging markets may have fallen rather tha...