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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Vulnerabilities in a Maturing Credit Cycle

The April 2019 GFSR finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart

Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart »

Source: Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart

Volume/Issue: 2009/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Kannan , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2009

ISBN: 9781451873252

Keywords: Fan Chart, Balance of Risks, Option Prices, Consensus Forecasts, risk factors, survey, skewness, normal distribution, equation,

This paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the...

Contingent Liabilities from Banks

Contingent Liabilities from Banks »

Source: Contingent Liabilities from Banks : How to Track Them?

Volume/Issue: 2015/255

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serkan Arslanalp , and Yin Liao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513568560

Keywords: bank, banks, banking, risk, Government Policy and Regulation, All Countries,

In this paper, we develop a methodology to assess potential losses to the government that could arise from bank failures. The approach is intended to be simple, parsimonious, and used in real time. It generates an...

India

India »

Source: India : Financial Sector Assessment Program-Detailed Assessments Report on IOSCO Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation

Volume/Issue: 2013/266

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 August 2013

ISBN: 9781475587234

Keywords: iosco principles, enforcement powers, market participants, risk management, criminal enforcement

This paper discusses findings of the assessments on International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation for India. India exhibits significant progress in...

Interest Rate Volatility and Risk in Indian Banking

Interest Rate Volatility and Risk in Indian Banking »

Source: Interest Rate Volatility and Risk in Indian Banking

Volume/Issue: 2004/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2004

ISBN: 9781451843569

Keywords: Interest volatility, risk, Indian banks, interest rate risk, cash flows, equity capital, bonds, banking, Financial Institutions and Services, General Financial Markets,

The easing of controls on interest rates has led to higher interest rate volatility in India. Hence, there is a need to measure and monitor the interest rate exposure of Indian banks. Using publicly available infor...

Barriers to Household Risk Management

Barriers to Household Risk Management »

Source: Barriers to Household Risk Management : Evidence from India

Volume/Issue: 2012/195

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Townsend , Shawn Cole , Jeremy Tobacman , Xavier Gine , James Vickery , and Petia Topalova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

ISBN: 9781475505443

Keywords: Household Finance, Trust, Liquidity Constraints, insurance contracts, insurance policies, risk aversion, basis risk, Field Experiments, Household Production and Intrahousehold Allocation, Financial Institutions and Services: General,

Why do many households remain exposed to large exogenous sources of non-systematic income risk? We use a series of randomized field experiments in rural India to test the importance of price and non-price factors i...

Central Counterparties

Central Counterparties »

Source: Central Counterparties : Addressing their Too Important to Fail Nature

Volume/Issue: 2015/21

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Froukelien Wendt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 January 2015

ISBN: 9781475572933

Keywords: central counterparties, interdependencies, too important to fail, recovery and resolution, risk waterfall, markets, market, default, liquidity, Government Policy and Regulation

Central counterparties (CCPs) can offer significant benefits to a market. However, CCPs are also highly interconnected with financial institutions and markets and therefore too important to fail. The increased volu...

International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era

International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era »

Source: International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era

Volume/Issue: 2009/209

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Akito Matsumoto , Robert Flood , and Nancy Marion

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873566

Keywords: International risk sharing, incomplete market, risk sharing, emerging markets, private consumption, income growth, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Saving, Production, Employment

Though theory suggests financial globalization should improve international risk sharing, empirical support has been limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the i...

Is it (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets

Is it (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets »

Source: Is it (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2008/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjeev Gupta , Amine Mati , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2008

ISBN: 9781451871173

Keywords: Sovereign spreads, political risk, bond, fiscal variables, bond spreads, fiscal balance,

Using a panel of 30 emerging market economies from 1997 to 2007, this paper investigates the determinants of country risk premiums as measured by sovereign bond spreads. Unlike previous studies, the results indicat...

Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives

Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives »

Source: Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives : A Network Analysis of Contagion and Its Mitigation with Super-Spreader Tax

Volume/Issue: 2012/282

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sheri Markose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475577501

Keywords: Systemic Risk, Financial Network, Too-Interconnected-to-Fail, Eigenvector Centrality, Super Spreader Tax, contagion, financial contagion, collateral

Financial network analysis is used to provide firm level bottom-up holistic visualizations of interconnections of financial obligations in global OTC derivatives markets. This helps to identify Systemically Importa...

Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings

Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings »

Source: Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks' Government Securities Holdings

Volume/Issue: 2005/78

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Amadou Sy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2005

ISBN: 9781451860979

Keywords: interest rate, duration, value-at-risk, capital adequacy, holdings of government securities, government securities holdings, capital adequacy ratio, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The large holdings of government securities by banks in India draw attention to their risk as interest rates are at historical low levels. This paper measures such a risk using duration and value-at-risk methods an...